Wednesday’s big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market in the next trading session


 

Wednesday’s Big Stock Stories: What’s Likely to Move the Market in the Next Trading Session

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed higher on Tuesday as traders awaited Trump's tariffs. Here's what's on Orlowski Financial Counsel's radar going into Wednesday.

April 16, 2025
By Steven Orlowski, CFP, CNPR - Orlowski Financial Counsel

Wall Street’s major indexes edged higher on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.28% and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 0.45%, as investors showed cautious optimism ahead of a potential policy pivot from former President Donald Trump. With tariffs back in the political spotlight, traders are bracing for what could be a volatile midweek session. Here’s what Orlowski Financial Counsel is watching heading into Wednesday.


1. Trade Tensions Back in Play

Markets are closely eyeing former President Trump's proposed tariffs, which he has suggested could be reimposed if he regains office in November. While the policies aren’t imminent, investors are beginning to price in the potential impact on global trade—particularly with China and Mexico. Multinational manufacturers, automakers, and consumer goods companies are likely to remain under pressure, and we expect defensive sectors like utilities and health care to see relative inflows as a hedge against macro uncertainty.


2. Earnings Season Heats Up

Corporate earnings continue to roll in, with key reports from Netflix (NFLX), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), and Procter & Gamble (PG) scheduled for Wednesday. After several quarters of cost-cutting and margin stabilization, the focus now shifts to top-line growth and forward guidance. For tech-heavy names, any sign of deceleration in subscription or ad revenue could ripple through the Nasdaq.

We’re especially watching financials, which have outperformed in recent weeks. Strong loan growth and widening net interest margins could fuel continued momentum if regional bank earnings beat expectations.


3. Fed Speak and Inflation Expectations

Federal Reserve officials will be on the speaking circuit again Wednesday, and markets will be parsing every word for signs of policy direction. Despite last week’s hotter-than-expected CPI print, futures markets are still pricing in a potential rate cut by the September FOMC meeting. However, if Fed officials remain hawkish, we could see a short-term pullback in rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and tech.

Watch the 10-year Treasury yield closely—if it climbs back above 4.5%, equity valuations could come under renewed pressure.


4. Oil Prices and the Middle East

Crude prices remain volatile as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East simmer. WTI crude hovered near $86/barrel on Tuesday, and any further escalation could send energy stocks higher while weighing on transportation and logistics companies. Investors with exposure to airlines or retailers may want to hedge short-term fuel risk.


5. AI and Tech: Rotation or Resurgence?

After a massive run-up in late 2024, artificial intelligence stocks have cooled in recent weeks. But chipmakers like Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) saw renewed buying on Tuesday, with investors betting on stronger-than-expected data center demand. The sector remains crowded, but any surprise earnings beats could spark another wave of FOMO-driven buying.


Bottom Line

Markets remain in a delicate balance—buoyed by strong earnings and resilient consumer spending, yet challenged by geopolitical uncertainty and sticky inflation. At Orlowski Financial Counsel, we are emphasizing diversified exposure, defensive sectors, and selective growth names with strong fundamentals heading into Wednesday’s trading session.

Stay tuned. The week is just heating up.

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