Two Don’ts and Four Dos During Trump’s Trade War
Two Don’ts and Four Dos During Trump’s Trade War
The financial rules have changed now that tariffs have disrupted the markets and created economic uncertainty. What can you do? (And what shouldn't you do?)
By Steven Orlowski, CFP, CNPR
The Trump administration’s trade war — marked by sweeping tariffs on goods from China, Europe, and other key trading partners — has created a ripple of uncertainty across the global economy. For investors, business owners, and everyday consumers, the normal financial playbook has been thrown out the window.
In volatile times like these, knowing how to adjust your financial strategy is critical. Here are two key things NOT to do, followed by four smart financial moves you should consider during this turbulent period.
The Two Don'ts
1. Don’t Panic-Sell Your Investments
Market volatility is unsettling, especially when driven by unpredictable trade policy. But reacting emotionally — like panic-selling during a market dip — is one of the worst moves an investor can make. Timing the market rarely works, and knee-jerk decisions can lock in losses you might otherwise recover from.
Instead: Stay the course. Revisit your risk tolerance and investment timeline. If your portfolio is properly diversified, it’s designed to weather these storms.
2. Don’t Overextend Your Business on Imported Inventory
If your business relies on imported goods, be cautious. Buying excess inventory now in anticipation of future tariffs might seem wise, but overleveraging your business or depleting cash reserves can backfire — especially if tariffs are lifted or demand shifts unexpectedly.
Instead: Work with your suppliers to create flexible purchase plans. Consider sourcing alternatives domestically or from countries not impacted by tariffs.
The Four Dos
1. Do Reevaluate Your Supply Chain
Whether you’re a manufacturer, retailer, or wholesaler, this is the time to scrutinize your suppliers. Diversifying your supply chain can reduce vulnerability to tariff-related disruptions.
Pro Tip: Start building relationships with suppliers in countries unaffected by U.S. tariffs — such as Vietnam, Mexico, or other Latin American nations.
2. Do Reassess Your Investment Allocation
Now’s the time for a portfolio check-up. While U.S. equities may be reacting sharply to trade headlines, certain sectors like utilities, healthcare, and domestic-focused small caps may offer more resilience.
Pro Tip: Look into sectors that are less exposed to global trade and more dependent on domestic consumption.
3. Do Keep an Eye on Currency Movements
Trade wars don’t just affect tariffs — they also influence currency values. A weakening Chinese yuan or strengthening U.S. dollar can have significant implications for importers, exporters, and international investors.
Action Item: If your business or portfolio has international exposure, consider hedging strategies or currency diversification.
4. Do Focus on What You Can Control
In uncertain times, double down on what you can manage — like reducing debt, tightening business expenses, or increasing personal savings. These habits build financial resilience, regardless of macroeconomic shifts.
Bonus Tip: Use the uncertainty as a motivator to review your financial plan. Are your emergency funds solid? Is your retirement plan still on track?
Final Thoughts
Trade wars create winners and losers, but rash decisions often turn temporary challenges into long-term setbacks. By avoiding emotional reactions and focusing on smart, proactive strategies, you can position yourself — and your business — to weather the storm and emerge even stronger.
Whether you're an investor, a business owner, or simply trying to protect your family's finances, these two don’ts and four dos can help you navigate through the noise and make grounded, confident decisions.
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